Spain vs Italy: population pyramids in 2039
SpainItaly
Each bar is the share of the total population at that single year of age (men left, women right), so countries of different sizes can be compared.
Spain and Italy compared
In 2039, Spain has a population of 46.7 million and Italy 55.6 million; Italy is about 1.2 times the size of Spain.
The share aged 65 and over is 30.1% in Spain and 33.3% in Italy, 3.2 points higher in Italy. The median age is 51.7 years in Spain and 52.8 years in Italy.
The total fertility rate is 1.31 in Spain and 1.30 in Italy, both below the replacement level of about 2.1. Life expectancy at birth is 85.8 years in Spain and 85.9 years in Italy.
By 2050, the population of Spain is projected to shrink by 3.8% and that of Italy to shrink by 6.5% compared with 2039.
GDP per person is $39K in Spain (2025) and $43K in Italy (2025).
Figures from 2024 are UN medium-variant projections.
Key figures (2039)
| Spain | Italy | |
|---|---|---|
| Population | 46.7 million | 55.6 million |
| Aged 0–14 | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Aged 15–64 | 59.1% | 56.3% |
| Aged 65+ | 30.1% | 33.3% |
| Median age | 51.7 yrs | 52.8 yrs |
| Old-age dependency | 51.0 | 59.2 |
| Total fertility rate | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Life expectancy | 85.8 yrs | 85.9 yrs |
| Population growth | -0.26% | -0.52% |
| Net migration (per year) | +58,417 | +41,436 |
| GDP | $1.91T (2025) | $2.55T (2025) |
| GDP per person | $39K (2025) | $43K (2025) |
| Unemployment | 10.4% (2025) | 6.4% (2025) |
Economic figures are the latest year published for each country.