Ethiopia vs Nigeria: population pyramids in 2038
EthiopiaNigeria
Each bar is the share of the total population at that single year of age (men left, women right), so countries of different sizes can be compared.
Ethiopia and Nigeria compared
In 2038, Ethiopia has a population of 179.4 million and Nigeria 300.3 million; Nigeria is about 1.7 times the size of Ethiopia.
The share aged 65 and over is 4.3% in Ethiopia and 3.5% in Nigeria, 0.8 points higher in Ethiopia. The median age is 22.6 years in Ethiopia and 22.1 years in Nigeria.
The total fertility rate is 2.99 in Ethiopia and 3.21 in Nigeria, both above the replacement level of about 2.1. Life expectancy at birth is 71.0 years in Ethiopia and 56.8 years in Nigeria.
By 2050, the population of Ethiopia is projected to grow by 24.4% and that of Nigeria to grow by 18.9% compared with 2038.
GDP per person is $933 in Ethiopia (2025) and $1,224 in Nigeria (2025).
Figures from 2024 are UN medium-variant projections.
Key figures (2038)
| Ethiopia | Nigeria | |
|---|---|---|
| Population | 179.4 million | 300.3 million |
| Aged 0–14 | 34.7% | 35.4% |
| Aged 15–64 | 61.0% | 61.1% |
| Aged 65+ | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Median age | 22.6 yrs | 22.1 yrs |
| Old-age dependency | 7.0 | 5.8 |
| Total fertility rate | 2.99 | 3.21 |
| Life expectancy | 71.0 yrs | 56.8 yrs |
| Population growth | +1.98% | +1.65% |
| Net migration (per year) | +52,220 | +40,845 |
| GDP | $126B (2025) | $291B (2025) |
| GDP per person | $933 (2025) | $1,224 (2025) |
| Unemployment | 3.3% (2025) | 3.1% (2025) |
Economic figures are the latest year published for each country.