World Population PyramidsPopulation pyramids and indicators by country and year日本語

Japan vs United States of America: population pyramids in 2038

2038Swap

JapanUnited States of America

1%0.75%0.5%0.25%0%0.25%0.5%0.75%1%0102030405060708090100MaleFemale

Each bar is the share of the total population at that single year of age (men left, women right), so countries of different sizes can be compared.

Japan and United States of America compared

In 2038, Japan has a population of 113.8 million and the United States of America 366.7 million; the United States of America is about 3.2 times the size of Japan.

The share aged 65 and over is 33.9% in Japan and 21.9% in the United States of America, 12.0 points higher in Japan. The median age is 53.8 years in Japan and 41.7 years in the United States of America.

The total fertility rate is 1.31 in Japan and 1.64 in the United States of America, both below the replacement level of about 2.1. Life expectancy at birth is 86.8 years in Japan and 81.5 years in the United States of America.

By 2050, the population of Japan is projected to shrink by 7.7% and that of the United States of America to grow by 3.7% compared with 2038.

GDP per person is $36K in Japan (2025) and $90K in the United States of America (2025).

Figures from 2024 are UN medium-variant projections.

Key figures (2038)

JapanUnited States of America
Population113.8 million366.7 million
Aged 0–1410.2%15.9%
Aged 15–6455.9%62.2%
Aged 65+33.9%21.9%
Median age53.8 yrs41.7 yrs
Old-age dependency60.635.1
Total fertility rate1.311.64
Life expectancy86.8 yrs81.5 yrs
Population growth-0.65%+0.38%
Net migration (per year)+121,736+1.3 million
GDP$4.44T (2025)$30.8T (2025)
GDP per person$36K (2025)$90K (2025)
Unemployment2.5% (2025)4.2% (2025)

Economic figures are the latest year published for each country.

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