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Niigata population pyramid 2045

Projection
2045
Population
1.6 million
Aged 0–14
8.8%
Aged 15–64
49.3%
Aged 65+
41.9%
Aged 75+
25.1%
vs 2020
-25.6%
100K75K50K25K025K50K75K100K010203040506070809095+MaleFemale

Population by sex and five-year age group (men left, women right). The axis is fixed across 2020–2050 so years can be compared.

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Population by sex and age group, 2020–2050 (CSV)

Data may be reused with attribution to the original sources (UN, World Bank, etc.).

Niigata at a glance

In 2045 the population of Niigata is projected to be 1.6 million: 8.8% aged 0–14, 49.3% aged 15–64 and 41.9% aged 65 and over (25.1% aged 75+).

From 2.2 million in 2020 it is projected to shrink by 30.7% to 1.5 million in 2050; the share aged 65+ rises from 32.8% to 43.2%.

Among the 47 prefectures, it ranks 16th largest by population in 2045, 11th largest by the size of the decline from 2020 to 2050, and 11th highest by the share aged 65+ in 2050.

The future of Niigata, compared

20202050Change65+ (2020)65+ (2050)0–14 (2050)
Niigata2.2 million1.5 million-30.7%32.8%43.2%8.6%
Japan126.1 million104.7 million-17.0%28.6%37.1%9.9%

Municipalities of Niigata

Municipality pages are in Japanese.

Municipality20202050Change65+ (2050)
新潟市789,275616,385-21.9%40.0%
新潟市北区72,80448,757-33.0%43.7%
新潟市東区134,446101,183-24.7%40.3%
新潟市中央区180,345158,408-12.2%35.5%
新潟市江南区67,97256,849-16.4%39.1%
新潟市秋葉区75,06957,670-23.2%41.5%
新潟市南区43,43728,957-33.3%47.6%
新潟市西区160,656132,527-17.5%38.9%
新潟市西蒲区54,54632,034-41.3%52.0%
長岡市266,936197,104-26.2%41.1%
三条市94,64263,029-33.4%45.3%
柏崎市81,52651,217-37.2%45.4%
新発田市94,92765,061-31.5%42.9%
小千谷市34,09620,714-39.2%47.3%
加茂市25,44113,027-48.8%54.3%
十日町市49,82026,029-47.8%50.1%
見附市39,23726,906-31.4%44.0%
村上市57,41830,615-46.7%52.4%
燕市77,20154,136-29.9%43.1%
糸魚川市40,76522,382-45.1%49.5%
妙高市30,38316,190-46.7%51.6%
五泉市47,62526,794-43.7%50.5%
上越市188,047127,657-32.1%43.9%
阿賀野市40,69624,893-38.8%48.6%
佐渡市51,49225,968-49.6%53.3%
魚沼市34,48318,436-46.5%51.3%
南魚沼市54,85135,646-35.0%44.9%
胎内市28,50917,257-39.5%46.6%
聖籠町14,25912,480-12.5%34.1%
弥彦村7,7055,026-34.8%48.8%
田上町11,2275,950-47.0%57.7%
阿賀町9,9653,802-61.8%63.8%
出雲崎町4,1132,158-47.5%56.9%
湯沢町7,7675,408-30.4%51.8%
津南町8,9894,713-47.6%50.8%
刈羽村4,3803,532-19.4%35.6%
関川村5,1442,300-55.3%55.7%
粟島浦村353189-46.5%30.2%

Municipalities of Niigata with the largest decline (2020→2050)

  1. 阿賀町(-61.8%)
  2. 関川村(-55.3%)
  3. 佐渡市(-49.6%)
  4. 加茂市(-48.8%)
  5. 十日町市(-47.8%)
  6. 津南町(-47.6%)
  7. 出雲崎町(-47.5%)
  8. 田上町(-47.0%)
  9. 妙高市(-46.7%)
  10. 村上市(-46.7%)

Source: processed from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Regional Population Projections for Japan (2023) (https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-shicyoson/j/shicyoson23/t-page.asp). 2020 is the census; 2025 onwards are projections.