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Nagano population pyramid 2035

Projection
2035
Population
1.8 million
Aged 0–14
9.7%
Aged 15–64
53.8%
Aged 65+
36.5%
Aged 75+
22.3%
vs 2020
-11.0%
100K75K50K25K025K50K75K100K010203040506070809095+MaleFemale

Population by sex and five-year age group (men left, women right). The axis is fixed across 2020–2050 so years can be compared.

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Population by sex and age group, 2020–2050 (CSV)

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Nagano at a glance

In 2035 the population of Nagano is projected to be 1.8 million: 9.7% aged 0–14, 53.8% aged 15–64 and 36.5% aged 65 and over (22.3% aged 75+).

From 2 million in 2020 it is projected to shrink by 22.8% to 1.6 million in 2050; the share aged 65+ rises from 32.0% to 41.6%.

Among the 47 prefectures, it ranks 16th largest by population in 2035, 21st smallest by the size of the decline from 2020 to 2050, and 16th highest by the share aged 65+ in 2050.

The future of Nagano, compared

20202050Change65+ (2020)65+ (2050)0–14 (2050)
Nagano2 million1.6 million-22.8%32.0%41.6%9.6%
Japan126.1 million104.7 million-17.0%28.6%37.1%9.9%

Municipalities of Nagano

Municipality pages are in Japanese.

Municipality20202050Change65+ (2050)
長野市372,760304,037-18.4%40.8%
松本市241,145207,208-14.1%37.3%
上田市154,055121,116-21.4%40.4%
岡谷市47,79031,505-34.1%43.6%
飯田市98,16472,714-25.9%40.9%
諏訪市48,72936,871-24.3%40.1%
須坂市49,55936,723-25.9%42.2%
小諸市40,99128,582-30.3%46.2%
伊那市66,12550,175-24.1%41.6%
駒ヶ根市32,20225,286-21.5%40.3%
中野市42,33829,506-30.3%45.0%
大町市26,02914,411-44.6%51.7%
飯山市19,53910,400-46.8%51.7%
茅野市56,40046,776-17.1%40.1%
塩尻市67,24157,415-14.6%38.0%
佐久市98,19985,580-12.9%39.2%
千曲市58,85242,682-27.5%44.5%
東御市30,12224,569-18.4%42.6%
安曇野市94,22278,135-17.1%42.2%
小海町4,3532,408-44.7%52.4%
川上村4,3443,013-30.6%31.2%
南牧村3,2422,506-22.7%37.5%
南相木村962678-29.5%39.1%
北相木村752513-31.8%39.6%
佐久穂町10,2185,687-44.3%54.6%
軽井沢町19,18817,958-6.4%46.8%
御代田町15,55515,374-1.2%41.5%
立科町6,6123,745-43.4%53.6%
青木村4,1212,923-29.1%46.7%
長和町5,6002,821-49.6%55.6%
下諏訪町19,15511,842-38.2%46.6%
富士見町14,08410,569-25.0%47.6%
原村7,6806,904-10.1%45.7%
辰野町18,55511,518-37.9%46.3%
箕輪町24,98919,588-21.6%41.9%
飯島町9,0045,734-36.3%48.7%
南箕輪村15,79715,882+0.5%32.2%
中川村4,6513,188-31.5%42.8%
宮田村8,5696,672-22.1%40.1%
松川町12,5308,722-30.4%45.0%
高森町12,81110,206-20.3%41.6%
阿南町4,2991,993-53.6%60.5%
阿智村6,0683,580-41.0%47.6%
平谷村387155-59.9%45.2%
根羽村852378-55.6%49.5%
下條村3,5452,275-35.8%46.7%
売木村548343-37.4%47.2%
天龍村1,178364-69.1%61.0%
泰阜村1,542913-40.8%43.2%
喬木村5,9734,109-31.2%42.4%
豊丘村6,4264,858-24.4%40.5%
大鹿村1,023506-50.5%51.6%
上松町4,1311,990-51.8%56.8%
南木曽町3,9151,998-49.0%51.3%
木祖村2,6921,558-42.1%51.5%
王滝村715292-59.2%59.2%
大桑村3,4391,747-49.2%47.8%
木曽町10,5845,377-49.2%52.2%
麻績村2,5931,651-36.3%50.6%
生坂村1,639898-45.2%48.4%
山形村8,4007,449-11.3%39.9%
朝日村4,2792,955-30.9%44.6%
筑北村4,1491,781-57.1%60.8%
池田町9,3826,153-34.4%51.5%
松川村9,5997,232-24.7%45.6%
白馬村8,5756,321-26.3%41.9%
小谷村2,6471,230-53.5%48.1%
坂城町14,0048,529-39.1%47.0%
小布施町10,6608,066-24.3%45.0%
高山村6,6173,953-40.3%52.1%
山ノ内町11,3525,578-50.9%56.7%
木島平村4,3752,660-39.2%54.3%
野沢温泉村3,2791,894-42.2%46.5%
信濃町7,7393,810-50.8%57.8%
小川村2,215991-55.3%57.3%
飯綱町10,2965,586-45.7%55.0%
栄村1,660634-61.8%66.9%

Municipalities of Nagano with the largest decline (2020→2050)

  1. 天龍村(-69.1%)
  2. 栄村(-61.8%)
  3. 平谷村(-59.9%)
  4. 王滝村(-59.2%)
  5. 筑北村(-57.1%)
  6. 根羽村(-55.6%)
  7. 小川村(-55.3%)
  8. 阿南町(-53.6%)
  9. 小谷村(-53.5%)
  10. 上松町(-51.8%)

Source: processed from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Regional Population Projections for Japan (2023) (https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-shicyoson/j/shicyoson23/t-page.asp). 2020 is the census; 2025 onwards are projections.