Tokushima population pyramid 2030
- Population
- 640,164
- Aged 0–14
- 9.2%
- Aged 15–64
- 53.1%
- Aged 65+
- 37.7%
- Aged 75+
- 23.8%
- vs 2020
- -11.0%
Population by sex and five-year age group (men left, women right). The axis is fixed across 2020–2050 so years can be compared.
Tokushima at a glance
In 2030 the population of Tokushima is projected to be 640,164: 9.2% aged 0–14, 53.1% aged 15–64 and 37.7% aged 65 and over (23.8% aged 75+).
From 719,559 in 2020 it is projected to shrink by 33.2% to 480,669 in 2050; the share aged 65+ rises from 34.2% to 44.8%.
Among the 47 prefectures, it ranks 4th smallest by population in 2030, 7th largest by the size of the decline from 2020 to 2050, and 5th highest by the share aged 65+ in 2050.
The future of Tokushima, compared
| 2020 | 2050 | Change | 65+ (2020) | 65+ (2050) | 0–14 (2050) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tokushima | 719,559 | 480,669 | -33.2% | 34.2% | 44.8% | 8.6% |
| Japan | 126.1 million | 104.7 million | -17.0% | 28.6% | 37.1% | 9.9% |
Trends 2020–2050
Population
Share aged 65+ (%)
Municipalities of Tokushima
Municipality pages are in Japanese.
| Municipality | 2020 | 2050 | Change | 65+ (2050) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 徳島市 | 252,391 | 192,475 | -23.7% | 41.1% |
| 鳴門市 | 54,622 | 33,701 | -38.3% | 47.9% |
| 小松島市 | 36,149 | 20,786 | -42.5% | 50.3% |
| 阿南市 | 69,470 | 44,094 | -36.5% | 45.6% |
| 吉野川市 | 38,772 | 22,633 | -41.6% | 51.1% |
| 阿波市 | 34,713 | 19,115 | -44.9% | 52.3% |
| 美馬市 | 28,055 | 14,908 | -46.9% | 53.3% |
| 三好市 | 23,605 | 9,148 | -61.2% | 62.3% |
| 勝浦町 | 4,837 | 2,291 | -52.6% | 51.0% |
| 上勝町 | 1,380 | 664 | -51.9% | 51.5% |
| 佐那河内村 | 2,058 | 877 | -57.4% | 63.5% |
| 石井町 | 24,833 | 18,434 | -25.8% | 42.5% |
| 神山町 | 4,647 | 1,838 | -60.4% | 58.7% |
| 那賀町 | 7,367 | 2,575 | -65.0% | 64.7% |
| 牟岐町 | 3,743 | 1,382 | -63.1% | 66.1% |
| 美波町 | 6,222 | 2,633 | -57.7% | 58.0% |
| 海陽町 | 8,358 | 3,720 | -55.5% | 60.4% |
| 松茂町 | 14,583 | 10,982 | -24.7% | 42.0% |
| 北島町 | 22,745 | 20,594 | -9.5% | 35.0% |
| 藍住町 | 35,246 | 30,749 | -12.8% | 37.3% |
| 板野町 | 13,042 | 8,928 | -31.5% | 46.9% |
| 上板町 | 11,384 | 6,884 | -39.5% | 49.7% |
| つるぎ町 | 7,715 | 3,074 | -60.2% | 59.9% |
| 東みよし町 | 13,622 | 8,184 | -39.9% | 51.0% |
Municipalities of Tokushima with the largest decline (2020→2050)
Related pages
Source: processed from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Regional Population Projections for Japan (2023) (https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-shicyoson/j/shicyoson23/t-page.asp). 2020 is the census; 2025 onwards are projections.