Nagasaki population pyramid 2050
- Population
- 868,817
- Aged 0–14
- 10.4%
- Aged 15–64
- 46.2%
- Aged 65+
- 43.4%
- Aged 75+
- 27.9%
- vs 2020
- -33.8%
Population by sex and five-year age group (men left, women right). The axis is fixed across 2020–2050 so years can be compared.
Nagasaki at a glance
In 2050 the population of Nagasaki is projected to be 868,817: 10.4% aged 0–14, 46.2% aged 15–64 and 43.4% aged 65 and over (27.9% aged 75+).
From 1.3 million in 2020 it is projected to shrink by 33.8% to 868,817 in 2050; the share aged 65+ rises from 33.0% to 43.4%.
Among the 47 prefectures, it ranks 17th smallest by population in 2050, 5th largest by the size of the decline from 2020 to 2050, and 9th highest by the share aged 65+ in 2050.
The future of Nagasaki, compared
| 2020 | 2050 | Change | 65+ (2020) | 65+ (2050) | 0–14 (2050) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nagasaki | 1.3 million | 868,817 | -33.8% | 33.0% | 43.4% | 10.4% |
| Japan | 126.1 million | 104.7 million | -17.0% | 28.6% | 37.1% | 9.9% |
Trends 2020–2050
Population
Share aged 65+ (%)
Municipalities of Nagasaki
Municipality pages are in Japanese.
| Municipality | 2020 | 2050 | Change | 65+ (2050) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 長崎市 | 409,118 | 280,138 | -31.5% | 42.4% |
| 佐世保市 | 243,223 | 165,944 | -31.8% | 40.2% |
| 島原市 | 43,338 | 27,091 | -37.5% | 47.7% |
| 諫早市 | 133,852 | 93,988 | -29.8% | 44.0% |
| 大村市 | 95,397 | 85,005 | -10.9% | 36.9% |
| 平戸市 | 29,365 | 14,473 | -50.7% | 52.2% |
| 松浦市 | 21,271 | 10,888 | -48.8% | 48.7% |
| 対馬市 | 28,502 | 13,326 | -53.2% | 51.3% |
| 壱岐市 | 24,948 | 13,199 | -47.1% | 50.4% |
| 五島市 | 34,391 | 17,632 | -48.7% | 54.5% |
| 西海市 | 26,275 | 12,827 | -51.2% | 50.4% |
| 雲仙市 | 41,096 | 23,609 | -42.6% | 49.7% |
| 南島原市 | 42,330 | 20,627 | -51.3% | 56.9% |
| 長与町 | 40,780 | 27,295 | -33.1% | 43.5% |
| 時津町 | 29,339 | 21,524 | -26.6% | 40.5% |
| 東彼杵町 | 7,721 | 4,073 | -47.2% | 55.5% |
| 川棚町 | 13,377 | 8,232 | -38.5% | 47.0% |
| 波佐見町 | 14,291 | 9,942 | -30.4% | 42.1% |
| 小値賀町 | 2,288 | 963 | -57.9% | 55.8% |
| 佐々町 | 13,912 | 11,017 | -20.8% | 37.5% |
| 新上五島町 | 17,503 | 7,024 | -59.9% | 63.3% |
Municipalities of Nagasaki with the largest decline (2020→2050)
Related pages
Source: processed from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Regional Population Projections for Japan (2023) (https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-shicyoson/j/shicyoson23/t-page.asp). 2020 is the census; 2025 onwards are projections.