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Oita population pyramid 2045

Projection
2045
Population
888,208
Aged 0–14
10.4%
Aged 15–64
49.8%
Aged 65+
39.8%
Aged 75+
23.9%
vs 2020
-21.0%
60K40K20K020K40K60K010203040506070809095+MaleFemale

Population by sex and five-year age group (men left, women right). The axis is fixed across 2020–2050 so years can be compared.

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Population by sex and age group, 2020–2050 (CSV)

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Oita at a glance

In 2045 the population of Oita is projected to be 888,208: 10.4% aged 0–14, 49.8% aged 15–64 and 39.8% aged 65 and over (23.9% aged 75+).

From 1.1 million in 2020 it is projected to shrink by 25.1% to 841,343 in 2050; the share aged 65+ rises from 33.3% to 40.5%.

Among the 47 prefectures, it ranks 16th smallest by population in 2045, 22nd largest by the size of the decline from 2020 to 2050, and 22nd highest by the share aged 65+ in 2050.

The future of Oita, compared

20202050Change65+ (2020)65+ (2050)0–14 (2050)
Oita1.1 million841,343-25.1%33.3%40.5%10.4%
Japan126.1 million104.7 million-17.0%28.6%37.1%9.9%

Municipalities of Oita

Municipality pages are in Japanese.

Municipality20202050Change65+ (2050)
大分市475,614415,875-12.6%36.7%
別府市115,32184,031-27.1%41.2%
中津市82,86369,547-16.1%35.8%
日田市62,65738,839-38.0%45.9%
佐伯市66,85135,779-46.5%52.7%
臼杵市36,15819,842-45.1%51.8%
津久見市16,1006,800-57.8%57.0%
竹田市20,3329,699-52.3%54.3%
豊後高田市22,11215,895-28.1%42.1%
杵築市27,99916,456-41.2%50.3%
宇佐市52,77135,431-32.9%43.4%
豊後大野市33,69518,093-46.3%52.7%
由布市32,77225,542-22.1%38.1%
国東市26,23214,119-46.2%53.7%
姫島村1,725558-67.7%72.4%
日出町27,72323,163-16.4%39.0%
九重町8,5414,159-51.3%53.3%
玖珠町14,3867,515-47.8%50.6%

Municipalities of Oita with the largest decline (2020→2050)

  1. 姫島村(-67.7%)
  2. 津久見市(-57.8%)
  3. 竹田市(-52.3%)
  4. 九重町(-51.3%)
  5. 玖珠町(-47.8%)
  6. 佐伯市(-46.5%)
  7. 豊後大野市(-46.3%)
  8. 国東市(-46.2%)
  9. 臼杵市(-45.1%)
  10. 杵築市(-41.2%)

Source: processed from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Regional Population Projections for Japan (2023) (https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-shicyoson/j/shicyoson23/t-page.asp). 2020 is the census; 2025 onwards are projections.