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Okinawa population pyramid 2040

Projection
2040
Population
1.4 million
Aged 0–14
14.0%
Aged 15–64
55.2%
Aged 65+
30.8%
Aged 75+
17.6%
vs 2020
-2.0%
60K40K20K020K40K60K010203040506070809095+MaleFemale

Population by sex and five-year age group (men left, women right). The axis is fixed across 2020–2050 so years can be compared.

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Population by sex and age group, 2020–2050 (CSV)

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Okinawa at a glance

In 2040 the population of Okinawa is projected to be 1.4 million: 14.0% aged 0–14, 55.2% aged 15–64 and 30.8% aged 65 and over (17.6% aged 75+).

From 1.5 million in 2020 it is projected to shrink by 5.2% to 1.4 million in 2050; the share aged 65+ rises from 22.6% to 33.6%.

Among the 47 prefectures, it ranks 24th largest by population in 2040, 2nd smallest by the size of the decline from 2020 to 2050, and 2nd lowest by the share aged 65+ in 2050.

The future of Okinawa, compared

20202050Change65+ (2020)65+ (2050)0–14 (2050)
Okinawa1.5 million1.4 million-5.2%22.6%33.6%13.8%
Japan126.1 million104.7 million-17.0%28.6%37.1%9.9%

Municipalities of Okinawa

Municipality pages are in Japanese.

Municipality20202050Change65+ (2050)
那覇市317,625280,108-11.8%34.3%
宜野湾市100,12597,722-2.4%31.7%
石垣市47,63745,098-5.3%33.1%
浦添市115,690108,581-6.1%33.2%
名護市63,55460,200-5.3%33.6%
糸満市61,00758,237-4.5%32.9%
沖縄市142,752140,354-1.7%33.8%
豊見城市64,61265,786+1.8%31.7%
うるま市125,303124,641-0.5%33.8%
宮古島市52,93147,218-10.8%36.7%
南城市44,04344,876+1.9%34.5%
国頭村4,5172,996-33.7%43.4%
大宜味村3,0922,346-24.1%46.7%
東村1,5981,128-29.4%45.0%
今帰仁村8,8946,672-25.0%47.0%
本部町12,5309,070-27.6%41.6%
恩納村10,86911,249+3.5%33.9%
宜野座村5,8336,304+8.1%35.3%
金武町10,80610,222-5.4%33.2%
伊江村4,1182,640-35.9%43.4%
読谷村41,20640,018-2.9%34.9%
嘉手納町13,52112,026-11.1%33.0%
北谷町28,20126,454-6.2%32.2%
北中城村17,96918,269+1.7%36.5%
中城村22,15726,102+17.8%29.8%
西原町34,98431,073-11.2%34.9%
与那原町19,69521,504+9.2%30.5%
南風原町40,44041,255+2.0%28.4%
渡嘉敷村718551-23.3%27.6%
座間味村892690-22.6%32.3%
粟国村683457-33.1%46.0%
渡名喜村346221-36.1%47.1%
南大東村1,285953-25.8%26.1%
北大東村590467-20.8%24.6%
伊平屋村1,126644-42.8%44.7%
伊是名村1,322883-33.2%37.1%
久米島町7,1924,520-37.2%41.0%
八重瀬町30,94134,340+11.0%32.7%
多良間村1,058681-35.6%42.9%
竹富町3,9423,346-15.1%31.2%
与那国町1,6761,111-33.7%34.3%

Municipalities of Okinawa with the largest decline (2020→2050)

  1. 伊平屋村(-42.8%)
  2. 久米島町(-37.2%)
  3. 渡名喜村(-36.1%)
  4. 伊江村(-35.9%)
  5. 多良間村(-35.6%)
  6. 与那国町(-33.7%)
  7. 国頭村(-33.7%)
  8. 伊是名村(-33.2%)
  9. 粟国村(-33.1%)
  10. 東村(-29.4%)

Source: processed from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Regional Population Projections for Japan (2023) (https://www.ipss.go.jp/pp-shicyoson/j/shicyoson23/t-page.asp). 2020 is the census; 2025 onwards are projections.