Where fertility is falling fastest
Countries and areas with the largest fall in the total fertility rate over the last 20 years, showing how quickly rates of 4–6 are approaching 2. 154 countries and areas, based on 2026 figures.
| # | Country / area | Change in fertility (20 years) | Then → now |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timor-Leste | -2.97 | 5.47 → 2.50 |
| 2 | Uganda | -2.46 | 6.43 → 3.97 |
| 3 | Malawi | -2.35 | 5.80 → 3.45 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | -2.33 | 6.05 → 3.72 |
| 5 | Burkina Faso | -2.26 | 6.17 → 3.91 |
| 6 | South Sudan | -2.22 | 5.85 → 3.63 |
| 7 | Sierra Leone | -2.21 | 5.74 → 3.53 |
| 8 | Afghanistan | -2.13 | 6.69 → 4.56 |
| 9 | Niger | -2.10 | 7.74 → 5.64 |
| 10 | Burundi | -2.09 | 6.66 → 4.57 |
| 11 | Gambia | -2.04 | 5.74 → 3.70 |
| 12 | Nigeria | -1.85 | 6.05 → 4.20 |
| 13 | Liberia | -1.82 | 5.53 → 3.71 |
| 14 | Rwanda | -1.80 | 5.34 → 3.54 |
| 15 | Guinea-Bissau | -1.79 | 5.41 → 3.62 |
| 16 | Zambia | -1.77 | 5.68 → 3.91 |
| 17 | Guinea | -1.74 | 5.70 → 3.96 |
| 18 | Somalia | -1.69 | 7.49 → 5.80 |
| 19 | Kenya | -1.68 | 4.75 → 3.07 |
| 20 | State of Palestine | -1.61 | 4.74 → 3.13 |
| 21 | Philippines | -1.61 | 3.47 → 1.86 |
| 22 | Guatemala | -1.61 | 3.84 → 2.23 |
| 23 | Equatorial Guinea | -1.55 | 5.50 → 3.95 |
| 24 | Angola | -1.53 | 6.42 → 4.89 |
| 25 | American Samoa | -1.47 | 3.69 → 2.22 |
| 26 | Sao Tome and Principe | -1.46 | 4.93 → 3.47 |
| 27 | Marshall Islands | -1.43 | 4.20 → 2.77 |
| 28 | Senegal | -1.40 | 5.06 → 3.66 |
| 29 | Djibouti | -1.36 | 3.90 → 2.54 |
| 30 | Côte d'Ivoire | -1.35 | 5.45 → 4.10 |
| 31 | Madagascar | -1.35 | 5.13 → 3.78 |
| 32 | Mali | -1.35 | 6.68 → 5.33 |
| 33 | Iraq | -1.33 | 4.46 → 3.13 |
| 34 | Eritrea | -1.33 | 4.88 → 3.55 |
| 35 | Benin | -1.33 | 5.67 → 4.34 |
| 36 | Chad | -1.28 | 7.12 → 5.84 |
| 37 | Cameroon | -1.25 | 5.37 → 4.12 |
| 38 | Bhutan | -1.23 | 2.66 → 1.43 |
| 39 | Lao People's Democratic Republic | -1.23 | 3.56 → 2.33 |
| 40 | Comoros | -1.22 | 4.93 → 3.71 |
| 41 | Haiti | -1.21 | 3.76 → 2.55 |
| 42 | Sudan | -1.20 | 5.33 → 4.13 |
| 43 | Jordan | -1.17 | 3.71 → 2.54 |
| 44 | Papua New Guinea | -1.16 | 4.15 → 2.99 |
| 45 | Pakistan | -1.15 | 4.59 → 3.44 |
| 46 | Ghana | -1.14 | 4.40 → 3.26 |
| 47 | Kuwait | -1.10 | 2.59 → 1.49 |
| 48 | United Republic of Tanzania | -1.10 | 5.51 → 4.41 |
| 49 | Tonga | -1.10 | 4.14 → 3.04 |
| 50 | Yemen | -1.08 | 5.41 → 4.33 |
| 51 | Togo | -1.07 | 5.08 → 4.01 |
| 52 | Cabo Verde | -1.07 | 2.56 → 1.49 |
| 53 | Bolivia (Plurinational State of) | -1.06 | 3.53 → 2.47 |
| 54 | Nepal | -1.05 | 2.97 → 1.92 |
| 55 | Honduras | -1.03 | 3.45 → 2.42 |
| 56 | Belize | -1.03 | 3.02 → 1.99 |
| 57 | Eswatini | -0.99 | 3.63 → 2.64 |
| 58 | Kosovo (under UNSC res. 1244) | -0.97 | 2.49 → 1.52 |
| 59 | Ecuador | -0.97 | 2.75 → 1.78 |
| 60 | Solomon Islands | -0.97 | 4.39 → 3.42 |
| 61 | India | -0.94 | 2.87 → 1.93 |
| 62 | Syrian Arab Republic | -0.94 | 3.56 → 2.62 |
| 63 | Mauritania | -0.92 | 5.40 → 4.48 |
| 64 | Saudi Arabia | -0.91 | 3.18 → 2.27 |
| 65 | Mozambique | -0.91 | 5.45 → 4.54 |
| 66 | Curaçao | -0.91 | 1.98 → 1.07 |
| 67 | Argentina | -0.89 | 2.40 → 1.51 |
| 68 | Tokelau | -0.88 | 3.42 → 2.54 |
| 69 | Puerto Rico | -0.86 | 1.80 → 0.94 |
| 70 | Micronesia (Fed. States of) | -0.84 | 3.51 → 2.67 |
| 71 | Cook Islands | -0.83 | 2.80 → 1.97 |
| 72 | Qatar | -0.82 | 2.51 → 1.69 |
| 73 | Lesotho | -0.80 | 3.41 → 2.61 |
| 74 | Malaysia | -0.79 | 2.31 → 1.52 |
| 75 | Kiribati | -0.76 | 3.82 → 3.06 |
| 76 | Jamaica | -0.76 | 2.09 → 1.33 |
| 77 | French Polynesia | -0.75 | 2.22 → 1.47 |
| 78 | United Arab Emirates | -0.75 | 1.96 → 1.21 |
| 79 | Democratic Republic of the Congo | -0.75 | 6.55 → 5.80 |
| 80 | Grenada | -0.74 | 2.19 → 1.45 |
| 81 | Wallis and Futuna Islands | -0.72 | 2.11 → 1.39 |
| 82 | Western Sahara | -0.70 | 2.83 → 2.13 |
| 83 | Peru | -0.69 | 2.62 → 1.93 |
| 84 | Uruguay | -0.69 | 2.07 → 1.38 |
| 85 | Bahrain | -0.69 | 2.46 → 1.77 |
| 86 | Fiji | -0.68 | 2.91 → 2.23 |
| 87 | Chile | -0.68 | 1.80 → 1.12 |
| 88 | Gabon | -0.68 | 4.17 → 3.49 |
| 89 | Cambodia | -0.68 | 3.17 → 2.49 |
| 90 | Maldives | -0.67 | 2.20 → 1.53 |
| 91 | Bangladesh | -0.67 | 2.76 → 2.09 |
| 92 | Congo | -0.66 | 4.65 → 3.99 |
| 93 | El Salvador | -0.66 | 2.40 → 1.74 |
| 94 | Saint Pierre and Miquelon | -0.66 | 1.95 → 1.29 |
| 95 | Bahamas | -0.66 | 2.02 → 1.36 |
| 96 | Turks and Caicos Islands | -0.65 | 2.08 → 1.43 |
| 97 | Colombia | -0.64 | 2.24 → 1.60 |
| 98 | Costa Rica | -0.63 | 1.94 → 1.31 |
| 99 | Samoa | -0.62 | 4.32 → 3.70 |
| 100 | Saint Barthélemy | -0.61 | 1.45 → 0.84 |
| 101 | Dominica | -0.61 | 2.07 → 1.46 |
| 102 | Mexico | -0.61 | 2.46 → 1.85 |
| 103 | China | -0.61 | 1.64 → 1.03 |
| 104 | Vanuatu | -0.60 | 4.10 → 3.50 |
| 105 | Iceland | -0.59 | 2.08 → 1.49 |
| 106 | Türkiye | -0.57 | 2.19 → 1.62 |
| 107 | Nicaragua | -0.57 | 2.73 → 2.16 |
| 108 | French Guiana | -0.57 | 3.82 → 3.25 |
| 109 | Niue | -0.56 | 3.00 → 2.44 |
| 110 | Panama | -0.55 | 2.62 → 2.07 |
| 111 | Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) | -0.55 | 2.59 → 2.04 |
| 112 | Egypt | -0.54 | 3.22 → 2.68 |
| 113 | Suriname | -0.54 | 2.73 → 2.19 |
| 114 | Finland | -0.53 | 1.83 → 1.30 |
| 115 | Paraguay | -0.52 | 2.89 → 2.37 |
| 116 | United States Virgin Islands | -0.52 | 2.57 → 2.05 |
| 117 | Mauritius | -0.50 | 1.71 → 1.21 |
| 118 | Libya | -0.49 | 2.70 → 2.21 |
| 119 | Norway | -0.48 | 1.90 → 1.42 |
| 120 | Botswana | -0.48 | 3.11 → 2.63 |
| 121 | Namibia | -0.47 | 3.60 → 3.13 |
| 122 | United States of America | -0.47 | 2.09 → 1.62 |
| 123 | Morocco | -0.45 | 2.61 → 2.16 |
| 124 | Oman | -0.44 | 2.88 → 2.44 |
| 125 | Thailand | -0.44 | 1.63 → 1.19 |
| 126 | Tuvalu | -0.43 | 3.53 → 3.10 |
| 127 | Sweden | -0.41 | 1.85 → 1.44 |
| 128 | Myanmar | -0.41 | 2.47 → 2.06 |
| 129 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | -0.40 | 1.90 → 1.50 |
| 130 | Saint Lucia | -0.40 | 1.77 → 1.37 |
| 131 | Belgium | -0.39 | 1.79 → 1.40 |
| 132 | Indonesia | -0.38 | 2.46 → 2.08 |
| 133 | Tajikistan | -0.38 | 3.34 → 2.96 |
| 134 | Republic of Korea | -0.38 | 1.14 → 0.76 |
| 135 | South Africa | -0.38 | 2.55 → 2.17 |
| 136 | Bermuda | -0.37 | 1.79 → 1.42 |
| 137 | Albania | -0.37 | 1.69 → 1.32 |
| 138 | New Zealand | -0.37 | 2.01 → 1.64 |
| 139 | Isle of Man | -0.37 | 1.90 → 1.53 |
| 140 | Northern Mariana Islands | -0.37 | 2.61 → 2.24 |
| 141 | Azerbaijan | -0.36 | 2.02 → 1.66 |
| 142 | Sri Lanka | -0.36 | 2.29 → 1.93 |
| 143 | Greenland | -0.36 | 2.26 → 1.90 |
| 144 | Sint Maarten (Dutch part) | -0.34 | 1.76 → 1.42 |
| 145 | Dominican Republic | -0.34 | 2.51 → 2.17 |
| 146 | France | -0.33 | 1.97 → 1.64 |
| 147 | Denmark | -0.32 | 1.84 → 1.52 |
| 148 | Faroe Islands | -0.32 | 2.51 → 2.19 |
| 149 | Réunion | -0.32 | 2.44 → 2.12 |
| 150 | New Caledonia | -0.31 | 2.24 → 1.93 |
| 151 | Guyana | -0.31 | 2.66 → 2.35 |
| 152 | Ireland | -0.31 | 1.91 → 1.60 |
| 153 | Brazil | -0.31 | 1.90 → 1.59 |
| 154 | Ukraine | -0.30 | 1.30 → 1.00 |
Source: UN World Population Prospects 2024 (medium variant).