World Population PyramidsPopulation pyramids and indicators by country and year日本語

China vs Japan: population pyramids in 2039

2039Swap

ChinaJapan

1%0.75%0.5%0.25%0%0.25%0.5%0.75%1%0102030405060708090100MaleFemale

Each bar is the share of the total population at that single year of age (men left, women right), so countries of different sizes can be compared.

China and Japan compared

In 2039, China has a population of 1.35 billion and Japan 113 million; China is about 12 times the size of Japan.

The share aged 65 and over is 25.7% in China and 34.5% in Japan, 8.7 points higher in Japan. The median age is 48.8 years in China and 53.9 years in Japan.

The total fertility rate is 1.13 in China and 1.31 in Japan, both below the replacement level of about 2.1. Life expectancy at birth is 81.5 years in China and 87.0 years in Japan.

By 2050, the population of China is projected to shrink by 6.5% and that of Japan to shrink by 7.1% compared with 2039.

GDP per person is $14K in China (2025) and $36K in Japan (2025).

Figures from 2024 are UN medium-variant projections.

Key figures (2039)

ChinaJapan
Population1.35 billion113 million
Aged 0–149.3%10.3%
Aged 15–6465.0%55.2%
Aged 65+25.7%34.5%
Median age48.8 yrs53.9 yrs
Old-age dependency39.662.4
Total fertility rate1.131.31
Life expectancy81.5 yrs87.0 yrs
Population growth-0.48%-0.65%
Net migration (per year)-214,488+120,375
GDP$19.5T (2025)$4.44T (2025)
GDP per person$14K (2025)$36K (2025)
Unemployment4.6% (2025)2.5% (2025)

Economic figures are the latest year published for each country.

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